The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for timely information on the evolving economic impacts of such a crisis. During these periods, there is an increased need to understand the current state of the economy in order to guide the effective implementation of policy. This is made...

Understanding the impact of housing supply on housing price inflation is a particularly important issue from a policy-maker's perspective. Notwithstanding the impact of the great financial crisis (GFC) in 2007/08, the past 25 years has seen a significant increase in housing prices across a...

This paper outlines the newly developed construction sector which has been incorporated into the ESRI's macroeconometric model, COSMO. Given the importance of the construction sector to the Irish economy, incorporating specific relationships for production, employment and wages in the sector...

This working paper provides an updated overview of the financial block satellite model in COSMO. This block allows for an analysis of macrofinancial relationships and links these back into the main COSMO specification. The critical importance of appropriately assessing macro-financial linkages...

The war in Ukraine and the subsequent increase in energy and other commodity prices has dampened the economic outlook. There are increased downside risks to economic activity and there is also considerable uncertainty around any economic projections and how they may evolve in the future. This...

In this paper we assess the implications for housing supply across the Euro Area of the recent tightening in monetary policy. Official monetary policy rates have risen in response to the sustained period of inflation experienced across countries due to the aftermath of the Covid epidemic and the...

In this paper, we explore the impact of recent interest rate increases on the Irish economy and chart out the potential impact using scenarios for the period 2023- 2025. We use the COSMO macroeconometric model of the Irish economy to test the impacts through credit markets and the real economy,...

This report examines the Irish, Northern Irish, Welsh, Scottish, and English residential markets with a particular focus on their capacity to increase housing supply over the short to medium term. Our approach compares and contrasts how differences across the housing markets, in key costs of...