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We test the predictability of investment fraud using a panel of mandatory disclosures filed with the SEC. We find that … predict fraud. Avoiding the 5% of firms with the highest ex ante predicted fraud risk would allow an investor to avoid 29% of … fraud cases and over 40% of the total dollar losses from fraud. We find no evidence that investors receive compensation for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125592
An accounting-based model has strong out-of-sample power not only to detect fraud, but also to predict cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066697
We study potential fraudulent mismarking of newly purchased odd lot and two classes of round lot positions in structured products. Such mismarking artificially inflates net asset values and overstates cumulative returns. Applied to mutual funds launched after January 2010, a simulation-tested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849102
This paper shows that the new financial regulation introduced in 2007 in the Netherlands, the so-called nieuw Financieel Toetsings Kader (nFTK), has several basic flaws. The nFTK evaluation cannot be trusted. The results are misleading and must not be used for policy decisions. 'Funding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108955
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This study applies an innovative return-based approach to determine the style-shifting activity of mutual funds. Based on daily returns, we measure style-shifting activity as inter-quarterly changes in the style exposures of a fund. In order to test the robustness of style-shifting activity we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091417
This study introduces an innovative approach to measuring the “style-shifting activity” (SSA) of mutual funds using daily returns. Applying our new measure to a comprehensive sample of 2631 active US equity mutual funds, we show (i) that SSA predicts future performance, especially for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937234
Using a novel equity lending dataset, this paper is the first to show that expected returns strongly and negatively predict future equity lending fees. In comparing two expected return measures, I find that a rational expected return has stronger predictive power of future short selling activity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491786
This study investigates changes in foreign analyst behavior before and after Chinese New Accounting Standards was implemented during 2007. The empirical results show that after the new accounting standards were implemented, forecast error among foreign analysts decreased in both absolute and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011824957