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We show that firms' nominal required returns to capital (i.e., their discount rates) are sticky with respect to expected inflation. Such nominally sticky discount rates imply that increases in expected inflation directly lower firms' real discount rates and thereby raise real investment. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512092
We conduct representative large-scale surveys of U.S. citizens aimed at measuring perceptions of large corporations' environmental, social, and governance performance and investigate how these perceptions affect the public support for economic policies. The public demands corporations to behave...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342577
We use data from the aggregate stock and dividend futures markets to quantify how investors' expectations about economic growth evolve across horizons in response to the new coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak and subsequent policy responses until July 2020. Dividend futures, which are claims to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839302
We propose a duration-based explanation for the major equity risk factors, including value, profitability, investment, low-risk, and payout factors. Both in the US and globally, these factors invest in firms that earn most of their cash flows in the near future. The factors could therefore be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849772
I document that the term structure of one-period expected returns on dividend-claims is counter-cyclical: it is downward sloping in good times, but upward sloping in bad times. The counter-cyclical variation is consistent with theories of long-run risk and habit, but these theories cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854151
We test whether the low-risk effect is driven by (a) leverage constraints and thus risk should be measured using beta vs. (b) behavioral effects and thus risk should be measured by idiosyncratic risk. Beta depends on volatility and correlation, where only volatility is related to idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934716
We use data from the aggregate stock market and dividend futures to quantify how investors' expectations about economic growth evolve across horizons in response to the coronavirus outbreak and subsequent policy responses until June 2020. Dividend futures, which are claims to dividends on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481582
Using data from a decade of surveys of corporate managers, I find evidence that firms with higher expected stock returns have a higher perceived cost of equity and use higher discount rates in capital budgeting. Variation in expected stock returns, as measured by exposure to equity risk factors,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244072
Motivated by the public debate regarding corporate responsibility, we construct a memory-based cognitive model of decision making to illustrate how corporate and political communication can impact policy preferences. We test the predictions of our model in a new large-scale experimental survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249104
Motivated by the public debate regarding corporate responsibility, we construct a memory-based model of decision-making to illustrate how corporate and political communication can impact policy preferences. We test the predictions of our model in a new large-scale survey of U.S. citizens on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435138