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influence voting outcomes. We develop a probabilistic voting model in which voters do not have complete information about the … using high-frequency data at the forecaster level surrounding the Brexit referendum. The results show that forecasters with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990008
Conservative Party came from MPs who had supported Leave in the 2016 Brexit referendum and from MPs elected in Leave leaning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064455
uence voting outcomes. We develop a probabilistic voting model in which voters do not have complete information about the … using high-frequency data at the forecaster level surrounding the Brexit referendum. The results show that forecasters with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984037
We explore the connection between social class, social mobility, and voting behavior in nineteenth-century England. To … avoid pitfalls associated with survey or aggregate data on voting behavior, we use administrative longitudinal records … the Liberals. The changes in voting behavior within individuals due to social mobility are immediate and mainly consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241755
This paper explores whether professional macroeconomic forecasters manipulate their forecasts to influence voting … Brexit referendum. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014583811
recommendations. We find that voting recommendations do indeed matter, implying that even in a secularized world, religion plays a … crucial role in voting decisions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223454
recommendations. We find that voting recommendations do indeed matter, implying that even in a secularized world, religion plays a … crucial role in voting decisions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487277
We study experimentally the effectiveness of communication in common value committees exhibiting publicly known heterogeneous biases. We test models assuming respectively self-interested and strategic-, joint payoff-maximizing- and cognitively heterogeneous agents. These predict varying degrees...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444227
A conclave is a voting mechanism in which a committee selects an alternative by voting until a sufficient supermajority … conclave leads to efficiency gains relative to simple majority voting. We also compare welfare properties of a static versus a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011336977
The common use of majority rule in group decision making is puzzling. In theory, it inequitably favors the proposer, and paradoxically, it disadvantages voters further if they are inequity averse. In practice, however, outcomes are equitable. The present paper analyzes data from a novel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762571