Purpose: This study examines the prediction power of investor sentiment on Bitcoin return. Design/methodology/approach: We construct a Financial and Economic Attitudes Revealed by Search (FEARS) index using search volume from Google's search engine to reveal household-level (“bankruptcy”,...

In this study, we investigate the impact of political uncertainty on Bitcoin. Introducing the U.S. federal election cycle as a proxy for political uncertainty, we find that (i) an increase in political uncertainty leads to a decrease in Bitcoin return, (ii) political uncertainty has the...

This paper investigates the co-movement characteristics of global stock markets in the context of the US-China trade war. By applying a set of different trivariate Copulas, our results suggest that markets co-move symmetrically in the pre-trade war period, but exhibit negative downside movements...

This study investigates the impact of political news on stock price movements. Analyzing more than 3,200 tweets from US President Donald Trump's Twitter account, we find that tweets related to the US-China trade war negatively predict S&P 500 returns and positively predict VIX. Granger causality...