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Uncertainty about the choice of identifying assumptions is common in causal studies, but is often ignored in empirical practice. This paper considers uncertainty over models that impose different identifying assumptions, which can lead to a mix of point‐ and set‐identified models. We propose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012807735
We review the literature on robust Bayesian analysis as a tool for global sensitivity analysis and for statistical decision-making under ambiguity. We discuss the methods proposed in the literature, including the different ways of constructing the set of priors that are the key input of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048660
This paper compares Bayesian decision theory with robust decision theory where the decision maker optimizes with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765345
This paper compares Bayesian decision theory with robust decision theory where the decision maker optimizes with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014093517
This paper compares Bayesian decision theory with robust decision theory where the decision maker optimizes with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070197
This paper studies the design of optimal time-consistent monetary policy in an economy where the planner trusts its own model, while a representative household uses a set of alternative probability distributions governing the evolution of the exogenous state of the economy. In such environments,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010240307
This paper concerns dynamic pricing of multiple perishable products when there is model uncertainty, which we formulate as a worst-case stochastic intensity control problem where ambiguity is modeled using the notion of relative entropy. One feature of our formulation is that the demand models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012725964
Protecting portfolio against extreme losses is a fundamentally difficult task since past experience provides a poor guidance for the future. This paper focuses on a robust approach to the portfolio insurance, which does not require historical calibration, and therefore avoids the hazards of data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900344
We develop robust models for optimization of the VaR and CVaR risk measures with a minimum expected return constraint under joint ambiguity in distribution, mean returns, and covariance matrix. We formulate models for ellipsoidal, polytopic, and interval ambiguity sets of the means and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936302
This paper considers the problem of second-degree price discrimination when the type distribution is unknown or imperfectly specified by means of an ambiguity set. As robustness measure we use a performance index, equivalent to relative regret, which quantifies the worst-case attainment ratio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243650