Following standard Austrian School theory, in this paper I identify merger waves as parts of Austrian type business cycles. As indicated by Mises, Rothbard and Hayek, when loan rates are reduced below their natural level through bank credit expansion this falsifies the monetary calculation of...

The Austrian economists Ludwig von Mises and Friedrich A. Hayek developed a unique theory of the business cycle. In their view, an unsustainable boom ensues when the rate of interest prevailing in the market falls below the natural rate. The boom is characterized not only by an increase in...

This study investigates the behaviour of the interest rate over the business cycle that is predicted by the Austrian theory of economic fluctuations. The first part briefly introduces the Austrian approach and develops some of its basic tools. The second part focuses on the gap between the...

We present non-linear models to capture the turning points in global economic activity as well as in advanced and emerging economies from 1980 to 2017. We first estimate Markov Switching models within a univariate framework. These models support the relevance of three business cycle regimes...

Salter and Luther (2016) argue that the Austrian theory of the business cycle (ABCT) can be interpreted as one where consumers and entrepreneurs with rational expectations make erroneous investment decisions driven by misperceptions regarding real vs. nominal shocks. Although we are sympathetic...

An Austrian interpretation of the New Keynesian small menu cost model of the business cycle is proposed. Austrian and New Keynesian business cycle theories share the feature that the cycle is generated by rigidities which prevent the economy from adapting instantaneously to changing conditions....

The conventional version of Austrian business cycle theory focuses on a temporary imbalance between natural and monetary rates of interest. When, because of the role of monetary authorities in defining the monetary rate, the two values are in a situation of imbalance, the resulting expansion...

This paper reviews the Austrian theory of the business cycle first proposed by Friedrich Hayek in the 1920s. His theory claimed that credit creation by monetary authorities would push investment beyond society`s long-term willingness to save, creating a mismatch between supply and demand that...

Austrian economists have contributed several important concepts to business cycle theory including: inter-temporal coordination of production and consumption, heterogeneous specificity of capital, nonneutrality of money, and the capital structure of production. Noticeably lacking, however, is a...