Fünf Jahre nach dem Ausbruch der Finanzmarktkrise hat sich einiges getan: Die USA und die Mitgliedstaaten der Europäischen Union haben verschiedene Regulierungen auf den Weg gebracht. Die Autoren beurteilen dies allerdings unterschiedlich. Zum einen seien die Regulierungen nicht ausreichend...

Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by inflation and interest rate expectations as well...

Macroeconomic expectations of various economic agents are characterized by substantial crosssectional heterogeneity. This chapter focuses on heterogeneity in the expectations among professional forecasters, first presenting stylized facts and discussing theoretical explanations for heterogeneous...

In this paper we develop an asymptotic theory for the parametric GARCH-in-Mean model. The asymptotics is based on a study of the volatility as a process of the model parameters. The proof makes use of stochastic recurrence equations for this random function and uses exponential inequalities to...

This paper analyzes the inflation dynamics of several countries belonging to the European Monetary Union and of the UK. We estimate the two main parameters driving the degree of persistence in inflation and its uncertainty using a dual long memory process. We also investigate the possible...

In this article we derive necessary and sufficient conditions for the nonnegativity of the conditional variance in the fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (p, d, q) (FIGARCH) model of the order p ≤ 2 and sufficient conditions for the general model....

This paper considers a formulation of the extended constant or time-varying conditional correlation GARCH model which allows for volatility feedback of either sign, i.e., positive or negative. In the previous literature, negative volatility spillovers were ruled out by the assumption that all...

In this article we derive conditions which ensure the non-negativity of the conditional variance in the Hyperbolic GARCH(p; d; q) (HYGARCH) model of Davidson (2004). The conditions are necessary and suffcient for p < 2 and suffcient for p > 2 and emerge as natural extensions of the inequality constraints derived in...</2>