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We examine the role of concurrent information in the striking increase in investor response to earnings announcements from 2001 to 2016, as measured by return variability and volume following Beaver (1968). We find management guidance, analyst forecasts, and disaggregated financial statement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873121
Prior studies use fundamental earnings forecasts to proxy for the market's expectations of earnings because analyst forecasts are biased and are available for only a subset of firms. We find that as a proxy for market expectations, fundamental forecasts contain systematic measurement errors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904816
Prior studies use fundamental earnings forecasts to proxy for the market's expectations of earnings because analyst forecasts are biased and are available for only a subset of firms. We find that as a proxy for market expectations, fundamental forecasts contain systematic measurement errors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858747
Using novel earnings calendar data, we show that firms' advanced scheduling of earnings announcement dates foreshadows their earnings news. Firms that schedule later-than-expected announcement dates subsequently announce worse news than those scheduling earlier-than-expected announcement dates....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972886
Previous research finds that historical seasonal earnings rank negatively predicts stock returns surrounding earnings announcements (EAs) in China’s A-share markets. We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help reduce the stock return seasonality associated with earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255146
Using monthly and quarterly cross-sectional dispersion in firm level earnings news as a proxy for investor uncertainty about the implications of current aggregate earnings for future discount rates, I find that higher investor uncertainty leads to a lower stock market reaction to aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125333
This study examines whether and why the stock market assigns an incremental premium to the act of beating analyst earnings forecasts when the economy is unforecastable. Our study uses a novel measure of macroeconomic (macro) uncertainty from Jurado et al. (2015) that captures periods during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313877
We investigate whether investors' perception of a firm's trustworthiness affects underreaction to earnings news. We develop a model that predicts how trust helps explain underreaction to news, and test this prediction under three different empirical settings where a firm's perceived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972323
We develop and test explanations for sources of intertemporal variation in the information content of aggregate earnings and how that variation explains variation in the relation between aggregate earnings growth and market returns over time. We find that the correlation between aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800977
We examine why, as a summary statistic, earnings is better than cash flows at explaining contemporaneous returns despite being a worse predictor of future operating cash flows. Several studies compare the ability of earnings and operating cash flows to predict valuation-related outcome variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897891