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model to be extended with stochastic volatility and heavy tailed disturbances. We develop a flexible estimation method for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362975
Using an event study method, we examine how stock markets respond to the policies of the European Central Bank during 1999-2015. We use market prices of futures (government bonds) to identify surprises in (un)conventional monetary policy. Our results suggest that especially unconventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014193
We examine howthe verbal complexity of ECB communications affectsfi-nancial market trading based on high-frequency data fromEuropean stock index futures trading. Studying the 34 events between May 2009 and June 2017, during which the ECB Governing Council press conferences covered unconventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039675
This paper investigates the financial market effects of the ECB's communication on the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP). Using data for 10 euro area countries, we first analyse the impact of different communication channels such as press releases, ECB blog contributions, speeches and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330976
We examine how the language used by central bank officials in public press conferences influences stock returns in the euro area. In line with the concept of Odyssean Forward Guidance, we find that using constraining language to express policy commitment increases the effectiveness of Forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829731
This paper documents that ECB announcements increase the stock market volatility in the euro area (EA) on the same day …. I consider two volatility measures from January 1998 to May 2019. First, a realized volatility measure uses intraday … data for 8 different stock market indices. Second, a range measure approximates volatility using daily prices from 11 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012286218
This paper examines volatility spillovers from changes in the size of the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve (FED … most susceptible to positive volatility spillovers from both the FED and ECB in terms of magnitude. Positive volatility … about ten. By contrast, we find that EME stock markets are subject to negative volatility spillovers. Moreover, we find only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636172
This paper provides an assessment of the macroeconomic models regularly used for forecasting and policy analysis in the Eurosystem. These include semi-structural, structural and time-series models covering specific jurisdictions and the euro area within a closed economy, small open economy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012627141
We estimate the impact of the ECB's announcement of the extended asset purchase programme (EAPP) on 22 January 2015 on global equity prices, bond yields and the euro exchange rate. We find that the EAPP announcement benefited global financial markets by boosting equity prices in the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971231
This paper investigates the scarcity effects of quantitative easing (QE) policies, drawing on intra-day transaction-level data for German government bonds, purchased under the Public Sector Purchase Program (PSPP) of the ECB/Eurosystem. This paper is the first to match high-frequency QE purchase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011632212