This paper has a twofold objective. First, we contribute to the stream of literature that investigates whether traditional asset pricing factors show any predictive power for the cross-section of Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) returns. In particular, we investigate the existence of a...

Real estate—housing in particular—is a less profitable investment in the long run than previously thought. We hand-collect property-level financial data for the institutional real estate portfolios of four large Oxbridge colleges over the period 1901–1983. Gross income yields initially...

We propose a new conditional factor model to explain the cross-section of REIT returns. Using the instrumented principal component analysis (IPCA) approach, we extract five latent factors and form a conditional factor model, which outperforms traditional factor models in explaining the...

We explore a new investment dimension relating hedge fund exposure to the real estate market. Using fund level data from 1994 to 2012 from a major hedge fund data vendor, we identify 1,321 hedge funds as having significant exposure to direct or securitized real estate. We test for the economic...

Market-wide, stock market specific, and real estate market specific risk – what kind of risk and to which extent drives the returns of listed real estate? Based on a structural asset pricing model calibrated to the empirical data in the U.S., we show that at least two thirds of the risk...

This paper analyzes return enhancement patterns of Turkish REITs (T-REITs) from various perspectives over the period of July 2008 and March 2015. We find that T-REITs portfolio provides a slightly lower level of risk diversification benefit than investment trusts, but higher than the banks. The...

Market-wide, stock market specific and real estate market specific risk - what kind of risk and to which extent drives the returns of listed real estate? Based on a structural asset pricing model calibrated to the empirical data in the U.S., we show that at least two thirds of the risk premium...

Option-based measures can predict underlying stock returns, due to differences in price discovery and price pressure effects between options and underlying stocks. We investigate stock return predictability by various option price-based measures using REITs. REITs are more transparent and...

Unlike stocks, unexpected returns of REITs (real estate investment trusts) are mainly driven by adjustments (called ``news'') in expected dividend growth as opposed to discount rates. The importance of REIT cash flow news is strong before and during the GFC, but also during the Dotcom period...

Recent research has shown that macroeconomic uncertainty is a significant factor that is contemporaneously incorporated into asset returns. Therefore, it should not have a role in predicting future returns. At the same time, separate research has demonstrated that illiquidity is related to...