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returns with time-varying volatility and model stock market crashes. Utilizing high frequency data, we estimate the daily … realized volatility from the returns in the first step and use stochastic cusp catastrophe on data normalized by the estimated … volatility in the second step to study possible discontinuities in markets. We support our methodology by simulations where we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206135
We employ a wavelet approach and conduct a time-frequency analysis of dynamic correlations between pairs of key traded assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily data. We show that heterogeneity in correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407524
returns with time-varying volatility and to model stock market crashes. In the first step, we utilize high-frequency data to … estimate daily realized volatility from returns. Then, we use stochastic cusp catastrophe on data normalized by the estimated … volatility in the second step to study possible discontinuities in the markets. We support our methodology through simulations in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407518
The paper describes the specification, estimation, and testing of an unrestricted structural econometric model design to explain and forecast individual returns of securities listed on the Brazilian stock market. The model's explanatory variables include macroeconomic, fundamental and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014112120
Deriving estimators from historical data is common practice in applied quantitative finance. The availability of ever larger data sets and easier access to statistical algorithms has also led to an increased usage of historical estimators. In this research note, we illustrate how to assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236566
Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these … two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many … forecasting-volatility models, comparing their performance (in terms of Value at Risk, VaR) under the assumptions of jumping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304
Forecasting volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these … two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer from … these two family forecasting-volatility models, comparing their performance (in terms of Value at Risk, VaR) under the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674479
Tests of excessive volatility along the lines of Shiller (1981) and Leroy and Porter (1981) count among the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214509
This paper empirically investigates the volatility pattern of Indian stock market based on time series data which … Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH). For capturing the symmetric and asymmetric volatility GARCH-M (1, 1) and EGARCH (1, 1 … TGARCH (1, 1) models show that negative shocks have a significant effect on conditional variance (volatility) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980061
specific reasons for the existence of this phenomenon. This paper aims to study the holiday effect in returns and volatility of … with higher volatility during pre-holiday periods. Furthermore, it examines whether the holiday effect depends on the … employed to capture the volatility clustering nature of the stock market. Out of the three GARCH models considered, EGARCH (1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120010