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Ever since the end of the Great Recession, the U.S. economy has experienced a period of mild inflation, which … contradicts with the output-inflation relationship depicted by a traditional Phillips curve. This paper examines how the permanent … output loss during the Great Recession has affected the ability of the Phillips curve to explain U.S. inflation dynamics. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972196
Despite notable improvements in the labour market since 2013, wage growth in the euro area was subdued and substantially overpredicted in 2013-17. This paper summarises the findings of an ESCB expert group on the reasons for low wage growth and provides comparable analyses on wage developments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063794
-the-job search makes such wage competition less likely, reducing expected labor costs and lowering inflation. This model explains why … inflation has remained subdued over the last decade, which is a conundrum for general equilibrium models and Phillips curves …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012172527
This paper analyzes the effects of nominal wage rigidity on inflation persistence and unemployment using a dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233389
exhibits a systematic positive relationship with wage inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015206800
This paper shows how endogeneous inflation inertia is generated by a simple modificaton of the quadratic adjustment … cost structure faced by economic agents. We derive the pertinent inflation relationships based on purely nominal rigidities … replicate empirical responses to an interest rate shock. -- Inflation Dynamics ; New Keynesian Phillips Curve; Business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952510
below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than … anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 … find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s but has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936771
-industry-specific Phillips curves for each decade by relating the growth rate of output prices to lagged inflation and an employment gap. We then … represent the sensitivity of inflation to economic slack. We measure globalization by increases in trade and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822142
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
This paper investigates the instability of capitalism defined as a condition under which capitalism creates inflation … fluctuations in the share of profits create inflation, unemployment, and business cycles. This generalization has been verified by … profit share is high, moderate inflation and employment were generated, and when profit share is low, inflation, unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081321