China's transition to a new growth model continues and the impact has been felt across the globe. Several trends contribute to the 'maturing' of China's economy: i) structural slowing on the convergence path; ii) on-shoring deepening; and iii) demand rebalancing from investment towards...

This paper studies the role of global input-output linkages in transmitting economic disturbances in the international economy. Our empirical results suggest that these sectoral spillovers are both statistically significant and of economic importance. We also provide evidence that it is not the...

What is the relationship between international trade and business cycle synchronization? Using data from 40 countries, we find that GDP comovement is significantly associated with trade in intermediate inputs but not with trade in final goods. Motivated by this new fact, we build a model of...

In the last decade, some emerging economies have imposed capital controls to reduce the volatility of capital flows and to manage the exchange rate. However, a capital controls tightening in some countries is likely to deflect capital flows to other countries with no controls in place. In this...

I built a three-country business cycle model with one AE and two EMEs to analyze the spillover effects arising from capital controls. I find that, following a push-factor shock from the AE, if one EME tightens capital controls, the other EME experiences an additional wave of foreign investments....

In this paper we investigate how income growth rates in one country are affected by growth rates in partner countries, testing for the importance of pairwise country links as well as characteristics of the receiving country (trade and financial open- ness, exchange rate regime, fiscal...