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Parameter shrinkage is known to reduce fitting and prediction errors in linear models. When the variables are dummies for age, period, etc. shrinkage is more commonly applied to differences between adjacent parameters, perhaps by fitting cubic splines or piecewise-linear curves (linear splines)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896743
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310468
Discounting in the cost-benefit analysis depends on the future market situation and cannot be freely adopted on the basis of economic considerations related to the choice of the discount rate only. The chosen form of the discount function is more important and has to be adjusted to the future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321666
In the article we define the concept of inflation rate related only to electricity production and derive the appropriate discount function using the continuous-time approach. We also present a modification for models with discrete time. The concept of the inflation rate function is based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014344921
A path-integral algorithm, PATHINT, used previously for several systems, has been generalized from 1 dimension to N dimensions, and from classical to quantum systems, qPATHINT. Pilot quantum applications have been made to neocortical interactions and financial options in 1 dimension. Future work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932613
This paper analyses the main drivers of sovereign bond spreads in a globalised world. Specifically, we account for international spillovers of bond spreads by adding an additional driver, namely, financial markets, and allowing interactions across countries and markets. We contribute to the VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010434572
working paper, focused on the underlying theory, appeared as an invited feature article in the February 2020 Society for Chaos … Theory in Psychology and the Life Sciences newsletter (Hastings et al. 2020). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291950
(COVID – 19). Model of a single-product economy is presented where the supply shock has a constant acceleration. If amount of … the supply shock has a modest positive acceleration the product earnings are positive and increasing with the passage of … time. We observe an economic growth. If amount of the supply shock has a large positive acceleration the product earnings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835703
The U.S. prewar output series exhibit smaller shock-persistence than postwar-series. Some studies suggest that this may … nonstationary process. We find that interpolation indeed reduces shock-persistence, but the interpolated series can still exhibit … greater shock-persistence than a pure random walk. Moreover, linear interpolation makes the series periodically nonstationary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294244
The U.S. prewar output series exhibit smaller shock-persistence than postwar-series. Some studies suggest this may be … nonstationary process. We find that interpolation indeed reduces shock-persistence, but the interpolated series can still exhibit … greater shock-persistence than a pure random walk. Moreover, linear interpolation makes the series periodically nonstationary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175448