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We solve a dynamic general equilibrium model with generalized disappointment aversion preferences and continuous state endowment dynamics. We apply the framework to the term structure of interest rates and show that the model generates an upward sloping term structure of nominal interest rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005999
We present a coherent account of the construction of yield curves, both covering the fundamental theory and practical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024389
We estimate a no-arbitrage term structure model of U.S. Treasury yields and corporate bond spreads with both economic factors and latent factors as drivers of term structure dynamics. We consider two sets of economic factors: macro factors consisting of inflation and real activity, and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983635
In July 2011 Risk Magazine reported that some market operators believe that in 2007 and 2008 Libor rates underestimated the real cost of funding of banks since “some banks were putting in artificially low rates” (Wood, 2011). This is currently the focus of some lawsuits and investigations....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912360
I study the relationship between interest rates and interest-rate volatility, particularly the idea of unspanned stochastic volatility (USV): volatility risk that cannot be hedged with bonds or swaps. Simulated data is used to assess the ability of regression-based techniques, popular but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903769
After the credit and liquidity crisis started in summer 2007 the market has recognized that multiple yield curves are required for estimation of both discount and FRA rates with dfferent tenors (e.g. Overnight, Libor 3 months, etc.), consistently with the large basis spreads and the wide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086652
We use non-Gaussian features in U.S. macroeconomic data to identify aggregate supply and demand shocks while imposing minimal economic assumptions. Macro risks represent the variables that govern the time-varying variance, skewness and higher-order moments of these two shocks, with "good"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899126
The Black framework offers a theoretically appealing way to model the term structure and gauge the stance of monetary policy when the zero lower bound of interest rates becomes constraining, but it is time consuming to apply using standard numerical methods. I outline a faster Monte Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062770
When nominal interest rates are near their zero lower bound (ZLB), as in many developed economies at the time of writing, it is theoretically untenable to apply the popular class of Gaussian affine term structure models (GATSMs) given their inherent material probabilities of negative interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063249
The zero-coupon yield curve is a common input for most financial purposes. The authors consider three popular yield curve datasets, and explore the extent to which the decision as to what dataset to use for an application may have implications on the results. The paper illustrates why such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011901875