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Classical quantitative finance models such as the Geometric Brownian Motion or its later extensions such as local or stochastic volatility models do not make sense when seen from a physics-based perspective, as they are all equivalent to a negative mass oscillator with a noise. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826182
Parameter shrinkage is known to reduce fitting and prediction errors in linear models. When the variables are dummies for age, period, etc. shrinkage is more commonly applied to differences between adjacent parameters, perhaps by fitting cubic splines or piecewise-linear curves (linear splines)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896743
, which is called G-bounds. Constructed G-bounds evaluate risk in the financial markets more carefully than models based on …, the closer the risk of losses on the stock market to the corresponding risk of loss for a normal distribution, the higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877599
a risk-free asset. We show that the method behaves similarly to Kelly on Geometric Brownian Motion in that it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836362
We theoretically and empirically study large-scale portfolio allocation problems when transaction costs are taken into account in the optimization problem. We show that transaction costs act on the one hand as a turnover penalization and on the other hand as a regularization, which shrinks the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755791
Robustness of risk measures to changes in underlying loss distributions (distributional uncertainty) is of crucial … importance when making well-informed risk management decisions. In this paper, we quantify for any given distortion risk measure … application to model risk assessment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825260
portfolio assets are more than two, the value at risk tends to become erratic while repeated computations generate different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406039
risk. Calibrations show that the impact of model uncertainty could be enormous, lowering the equilibrium risk-free rate and … increasing the equity risk premium. This finding contributes to a potential explanation for the equity risk premium and risk … is necessary to explain the equity risk premium puzzle. In this paper, the equilibrium wealth and expected utility under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256780
volatility models results in superior out-of-sample risk forecasts, compared to forecasts from existing models and more … volatilities. A utility-based framework designed to evaluate the economic gains from risk modeling highlights the interplay between … parsimony of model specification, transaction costs, and speed of trading in the practical implementation of the different risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970195
, heavy tails, and nonellipticity. It introduces a so-called risk fear portfolio strategy which combines portfolio … optimization with active risk monitoring. The former selects optimal portfolio weights. The later, independently, initiates market … leads to superior multivariate density and Value-at-Risk forecasting, and better portfolio performance. The proposed risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410659