Showing 1 - 10 of 316,240
tractable. The approach allows for simultaneous calibration to market volatility surfaces of currency triangles, and also gives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963076
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
We study the term structure of variance (total risk), systematic and idiosyncratic risk. Consistent with the expectations hypothesis, we find that, for the entire market, the slope of the term structure of variance is mainly informative about the path of future variance. Thus, there is little...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751173
We apply a two-step strategy to forecast the dynamics of the volatility surface implicit in option prices to all …-post volatility of the minimum-variance portfolio is lower when compared with the equal-weighted portfolio and a minimum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235957
systematically with the volatility of stock returns. We allow for correlation between stock returns and their volatility (so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705869
We construct multi-currency models with stochastic volatility and correlated stochastic interest rates with a full … interest rate by a stochastic volatility displaced-diffusion Libor Market Model [AA02], which can model an interest rate smile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069789
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534822
value of the contract at the relevant default times. We allow for correlation between the default times of the investor and … counterparty, and for correlation of each with the underlying risk factor, namely interest rates. We also analyze the often … neglected impact of credit spread volatility. We include Netting in our examples, although other agreements such as Margining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150257
This paper studies the intertemporal relation between U.S. volatility risk and international equity risk premia. We … show that a common volatility risk factor constructed from the option-implied U.S. forward variances positively and … robust to the inclusion of existing domestic and U.S. predictors and alternative U.S. volatility risk proxies. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236052
Option-implied moments, like implied volatility, contain useful information about an underlying asset's return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399367