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Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors … is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during … major information events. This paper investigates whether the predictability of equity returns by volatility spreads is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039227
We examine the role of concurrent information in the striking increase in investor response to earnings announcements from 2001 to 2016, as measured by return variability and volume following Beaver (1968). We find management guidance, analyst forecasts, and disaggregated financial statement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873121
Finance literature highlights various reasons for stock performance subsequent to earnings announcements. However, other moving parts in these scenarios must also be simultaneously specified. While both revenue and earnings surprises are important for determining stock performance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849035
predictions of RPH: (1) we do not find a positive correlation between the implied volatility changes and earnings surprises; and … most positive earnings surprises. Using volatility based option trading strategies (straddles), we examine if option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090197
21% (47%) of abnormal volatility (trading volume) associated with an average macroeconomic release. The returns earned … announcements’ contribution to index-level volatility has been relatively stable over our sample period from 2004 to 2018, while we … observe a drastic decrease in the volatility explained by macro announcements. The latter is consistent with a growing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229392
volatility around quarterly earnings announcements. Using US data during 1996-2010, we observe that lower (higher) accounting … quality significantly relates to higher (lower) levels of implied volatility (IV) around announcements. Worse accounting … significant impact on implied volatility behavior around earnings announcements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032188
behavior of the term structure of implied option volatility around earnings announcements. By employing a large sample of US … significantly associated with stronger (weaker) changes in the steepness of the term structure of implied volatility curve around …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901936
increase in market uncertainty measured by implied volatility. Inconsistent earnings news has a larger effect on market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902474
This study seeks to determine whether earnings announcements pose non-diversifiable volatility risk that commands a … volatility and pay a premium to hedge this non-diversifiable risk. In particular, we find evidence of risk premiums embedded in … announcements pose non-diversifiable volatility risk. In addition, we find that volatility risk premiums are concentrated among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010205852
earnings announcements. Using implied volatility from option prices to proxy for uncertainty about firm fundamentals, we find a … significantly positive association between changes in the implied volatility of each industry's first announcer and its peers around …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899383