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We develop a global vector autoregressive model to study the transmission of information between currency spot markets … system, we find that currency markets are intricately linked and that the Deutsche Mark and the Yen exert a leading influence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033485
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This paper presents a new approach for modelling the connectedness between asset returns. We adapt the measure of Diebold and Yılmaz (2014), which is based on the forecast error variance decomposition of a VAR model. However, their connectedness measure hinges on critical assumptions with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968850
This paper re-examines the UIP relation by estimating first a benchmark linear Cointegrated VAR including the nominal exchange rate and the interest rate differential as well as central bank announcements, and then a Cointegrated Smooth Transition VAR (CVSTAR) model incorporating nonlinearities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508617
Using detailed firm-level transactions data for UK imports, we find that invoicing in a vehicle currency is pervasive …, with more than half of transactions in our sample invoiced in neither sterling nor the exporter’s currency. We then study … the relationship between invoicing currency choices and the response of import prices to exchange rate changes. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867016
In this study we examine the role of the Euro on currency co-movements and contagion considering six major currencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920845
We identify variables that help explain the persistent weakness of the Norwegian krone since 2016 within a fully simultaneous model of the underlying process driving the krone-euro exchange rate. In addition to a set of fundamental variables we consider non-traditional explanatory variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013257136
Determining the exchange rate pass-through on inflation is a necessity for central banks as well as for firms and households. This is an apparently easy and intuitive task, but it faces high complexity and uncertainty. This paper examines the short and long-term impact of an exchange rate shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554700
Two main objectives of Structural Vector AutoRegression (SVAR) modeling are recovering structural shocks from reduced form shocks and Impulse-Response Analysis and Forecast error variance decomposition. As is well known, the first of these is possible only if the number of structural shocks is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036425