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I assess the relation between cross-sectional return dispersion in foreign exchange (FX) markets and currency momentum. I find that cross-sectional dispersion is priced in the cross-section of currency momentum returns and that an unexpected increase in cross-sectional dispersion is associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901550
Using recent advances in network theory, we estimate the intra-industry connectedness for US publicly traded companies going back to the 1920s. We develop a stock-level composite centrality measure that captures multiple dimensions of a stock's interdependence with its industry peers. Using our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221557
This is the first paper that explores Fisher, Shah and Titman's (2016) average ranking approach for the value and momentum strategy in the Nordic equity market offering an exceptional experimental environment. Our results indicate that in the Nordic stock markets, the value anomaly offered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913357
Risk-adjusted momentum returns are usually estimated by constructing momentum portfolios and then running a full-sample regression of their returns on a set of factors (portfolio-level risk adjustment). This approach implicitly assumes constant factor exposure of the momentum portfolio. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249431
There is substantial evidence that indicates that stocks that perform the best (worst) over a three to 12 month period tend to continue to perform well (poorly) over the subsequent three to 12 months. Up until recently, trading strategies that exploit this phenomenon were consistently profitable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120998
We build a parsimonious international asset pricing model in which deviations of government bond yields from a fitted yield curve of a country measure the tightness of investors' capital constraints. We compute these measures at daily frequency for six major markets and use them to test the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014122253
Long histories of returns are needed but often lacking when estimating the equity premium. This paper studies stock return predictability from the perspective of a Bayesian investor who has access to international data. Learning across countries arises whenever this investor believes that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972060
In this paper, I test the performance of the CAPM, Fama-French three-factor and Carhart four-factor models on the Polish market. I use stock level data from April 2001 to January 2014. I find strong evidence for the value and momentum effects, but only weak evidence for the size premium. I form...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973497
This study examines the relationship between dividend yield and stock returns for firms in the United Arab Emirates, where there are no taxes on dividend incomes and capital gains. Following methods of Black and Scholes (1974) and Litzenberger and Ramaswamy (1979), we find that yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946485
This paper introduces a new out-of-sample forecasting methodology for monthly market returns using the variance risk premium (VRP) that is both statistically and economically significant. This methodology is motivated by the `beta representation,' which implies that the market risk premium is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902980