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-ante measures of volatility, skewness, and kurtosis implied from stock option prices are positively related to the cross section of … volatility, only the unsystematic components of skewness and kurtosis are related to the cross section of expected stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905215
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
nature of the answer when the volatility differential is due to the systematic/priced risk. Here the difference in the … direction and magnitude of the net effect depends on the levels of asset beta and volatility and the moneyness and maturity of … nonlinear derivatives, one should pay attention to the source of volatility differential, and the sample range/mix of betas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968263
An anchoring-adjusted option pricing model is developed in which the volatility of the underlying stock return is used … as a starting point that gets adjusted upwards to form expectations about call option volatility. I show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033252
In informationally efficient financial markets, option prices and this implied volatility should immediately be … volatility would indicate market inefficiency. Using minute-by-minute data on S&P 500 index options, we provide evidence … regarding delayed and gradual movements in implied volatility after the arrival of return jumps. These movements are directed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898071
dramatically and permanently changed the shape of the implied volatility curve for equity index options. Here, we propose a general …. Further, the model generates a steep shift in the implied volatility 'smirk' for S&P 500 options after the 1987 crash. This … integrated. -- Volatility Smile ; Volatility Smirk ; Implied Volatility ; Option Pricing ; Portfolio Insurance ; Market Risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009381331
straddles; second, we estimate the PVR in a Heston (1993) stochastic-volatility model. In both cases, the estimation is … more negative and its term structure is steeper when volatility is high. These findings are inconsistent with calibrations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303715
This paper implements an algorithm that can be used to solve systems of Black-Scholes equations for implied volatility … for implied volatility and implied risk-free rate, the options are re-priced using these parameters in the Black … risk-free rate model is better for predicting future evolutions in model-free implied volatility as measured by the VIX …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034300
We study the relation between option-implied skewness (IS) and the cross-section of option returns under daily hedging to better understand the pricing of skewness in isolation from lower moments. Creating portfolios of delta-hedged (D-hedged) and delta-vega-hedged (DV-hedged) options with daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848466
factors such as jump and volatility risks, short-sale constraints, and stock lottery characteristics. It is also inconsistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403606