This paper derives a sufficient condition for noncausality at all forecast horizons (infinitestep noncausality). We propose a test procedure for this sufficient condition. Our procedure presents two main advantages. First, our infinite-step Granger causality analysis is conducted in a more...

This paper contributes to the climate-economy literature by analysing the role of weather patterns in influencing the transmission of global climate cycles to economic growth. More specifically, we focus on El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and their interactions with local weather...

This paper investigates the relationship between French wealth and household consumption in a nonlinear context. At first, we update the previous French wealth effects estimates by taking into account the post subprime crisis period; we show that the wealth effect is still positive but only about...