Russian Abstract: Целью настоящей работы является проведение комплексного анализа влияния факторов на динамику реального обменного курса рубля. Во-первых, изучены...

Russian Abstract: Целью настоящей работы является анализ воздействия нестандартных мер денежно-кредитной политики на функционирование денежного рынка и экономики в...

Russian Abstract: Целью настоящей работы является проведение комплексного анализа влияния факторов на динамику реального обменного курса рубля. Во-первых, изучены...

Russian Abstract: Настоящая работа посвящена долгосрочному (до 2100 г.) прогнозированию демографических (численность населения, в том числе, рабочей силы) и...

The key factor in the strengthening of the real exchange rate of the ruble in the 2000s was the transformation based growth of Russia's economy (the Balassa-Samuelson effect) coupled with the improving foreign trade conditions. As can be concluded on the basis of data for Q4 2014, for the...

In September, the Central Bank of Russia made a decision to cut the key rate by 0.5 p.p. to 10%. The intention of the Central Bank of Russia to stick to a moderately tough monetary policy is justified by the need to consolidate the trend towards sustained reduction of the rate of inflation

The BOP (Balance of Payments) data show that a current account surplus contracted considerably in H1 2016 over the same period previous year. This is because there were serious cutbacks in exports while the decline in imports slowed down. Despite growth in non-bank sector's foreign asset...

In June, the Russian Central Bank, for the first time since summer 2015, decided to reduce the key interest rate by 0.5 percentage points, to 10.5%. The decline in inflation expectations, further slowdown in inflation and stabilization of the external environment, together with the...

The United Kingdom's potential exit from the EU poses a number of macroeconomic risks. Considering the overall growth of uncertainty, the recession in the UK cannot be ruled out. The decline in capital inflows to the UK economy can be predicted, which could pose a threat to the stability of the...

In 2018 Russia continues to reduce, since the 2014–2015 crisis, its external debt. An additional factor contributing to the reduction of debt to non-residents is that non-residents have reduced their holdings of OFZ bonds over fears of new sanctions against Russia. Therefore the today's level...