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The co-movement of revenue growth across different industries changes over the business cycle. Using a large sample of quarterly firm revenues, aggregated to industry data from 1969 to 2009, we demonstrate that the correlation is the highest during a crisis. Our findings of structural changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117732
The co-movement of stocks and of fundamentals changes across the business cycle. Empiricalstudies have shown that the correlation of stock returns is stronger in crisis. Weshow that the correlation of fundamentals is the highest during crisis using a large sampleof quarterly firm revenues...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009302656
The co-movement of stocks and of fundamentals changes across the business cycle. Empirical studies have shown that the correlation of stock returns is stronger in crisis. We show that the correlation of fundamentals is the highest during crisis using a large sample of quarterly firm revenues...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008739723
Since the 1970s the characteristics of international business cycles have changed and deeper economic integration has modified the features of cross-country comovement. We formally test for correlation shifts in measures of real economic activity and economic/financial integration. In Europe we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714048
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622252
In this paper, we map the process of synchronization of the Visegrad Four within the framework of the European Union using wavelet techniques. We show that the relationship of among countries is dynamic and that it varies over time and across frequencies. We study the synchronization applying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305160
In this paper, we map the process of synchronization of the Visegrad Four within the framework of the European Union using the wavelet techniques. In addition, we show that the relationship of output and key macroeconomic indicators is dynamic and varies over time and across frequencies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011280715
Turmoil in euro area once more forces EU authorities to rethink future of further monetary integration. One of the most commonly used criterions for successful monetary in contemporary research is business cycle synchronization (BCS). Though BCS has been vastly described at country level, not as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012011034
We analyze whether financial integration between countries leads to converging or diverging business cycles using a dynamic spatial model. Our model allows for contemporaneous spillovers of shocks to GDP growth between countries that are financially integrated and delivers a scalar measure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012161035
The aim of this paper is to investigate business cycle synchronization between seven candidate countries to the Euro Area (EA) - Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Croatia, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Sweden - and the Euro Area (EA-12/EA-19), France and Germany. The Hodrick-Prescott filter is used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191264