We contribute to the debate over whether forecastable stock returns reflect an unexploited profit opportunity or rationally reflect risk differentials. We test whether agents could earn excess returns by selecting stocks which have a low market price compared to an estimate of the fundamental...

The authors apply the original variance bounds tests to the present value model for the U.K. stock market and amend these tests to take account of revisions in the model's parameters. They show that variance bounds tests that correct for this are no longer violated. However, they claim there is...