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Introducing the euro Area-wide Leading Indicator (ALI) : real-time signals of turning points in the growth cycle from 2007 to 2011

Bondt, Gabe J. de; Hahn, Elke - In: Journal of forecasting 33 (2014) 1, pp. 47-68

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424882

The Belgian industrial confidence indicator : leading indicator of economic activity in the euro area?

Vanhaelen, Jean-Jacques; Dresse, Luc; De Mulder, Jan - 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001529832

The Belgian industrial confidence indicator: leading indicator of economic activity in the euro area?

Vanhaelen, Jean-Jacques; Dresse, Luc; De Mulder, Jan - In: Economic surveys and data analysis : CIRET Conference …, (pp. 153-181). 2002

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001747462

The Belgian industrial confidence indicator : leading indicator of economic activity in the euro area?

Vanhaelen, Jean-Jacques; Dresse, Luc; De Mulder, Jan - 2000

industrial confidence indicators for Belgium and for the euro area, and the statistical significance of the differences in timing … has been assessed using the Randomization Test proposed by Banerji. We conclude that the turning points in Belgium do in … confidence indicator is not really surprising, as changes in the business cycle stages in Belgium seem to have been ahead of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622627

The role of survey data in nowcasting euro area GDP growth

Gayer, Christian; Girardi, Alessandro; Reuter, Andreas - 2014

This paper evaluates the impact of new releases of financial, real activity and survey data on the nowcasting of euro area GDP growth. We show that financial data are only essential for improving nowcasting in the first two months of a nowcast quarter. This contrasts with survey and real data,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516845

Modelling industrial new orders for the euro area

Bondt, Gabe J. de; Dieden, Heinz C.; Muzikarova, Sona; … - 2014

This paper models industrial new orders across European Union (EU) Member States for various breakdowns. A common modelling framework exploits both soft data (business opinion surveys) and hard data (industrial turnover). The estimates show for about 200 cases that the model determinants...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664038