The calculation of expected returns is a necessary ingredient in data processing for an event study. The method most commonly used, the market model, often fails to meet the OLS requirement of normally distributed residuals, and tends to furnish regression output (low R2, and insignificant t-...

The midterm election effect is one of the most persistent regularities related to US politics reported in empirical finance, but it has also been one of the least examined. We explore practical implications for investors who would like to benefit from the effect. First, we draw lessons from an...