An accurate global projection algorithm is critical for quantifying the basic moments of the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides (DMP) model. Loglinearization understates the mean and volatility of unemployment, but overstates the volatility of labor market tightness and the magnitude of the...

The investment CAPM provides an economic foundation for Graham and Dodd's (1934) Security Analysis. Expected returns vary cross-sectionally, depending on firms' investment, profitability, and expected investment growth. Empirically, many anomaly variables predict future changes in...

In this paper we present a new data set on bank credit in four categories: home mortgages, consumer credit, bank loans to non-bank financials, and loans to non-financial business, for 74 economies over 1990–2013. We offer a full description of sources and methods of data collection and...

The anomalies literature is infested with widespread p-hacking. We replicate the entire anomalies literature in finance and accounting by compiling a largest-to-date data library that contains 447 anomaly variables. With microcaps alleviated via New York Stock Exchange breakpoints and...

In a multiperiod investment framework, firms with high expected growth earn higher expected returns than firms with low expected growth, holding investment and expected profitability constant. This paper forms cross-sectional growth forecasts, and constructs an expected growth factor that yields...

Most anomalies fail to hold up to currently acceptable standards for empirical finance. With microcaps mitigated via NYSE breakpoints and value-weighted returns, 65% of the 452 anomalies in our data library, including 96% of the trading frictions category, cannot clear the single test hurdle of...

Many recently proposed, seemingly different factor models are closely related. In spanning tests, the q-factor model largely subsumes the Fama-French 5- and 6-factor models, and the q^5 model subsumes the Stambaugh-Yuan 4-factor model. Their “mispricing” factors are sensitive to the...

Value stocks are more exposed to disaster risk than growth stocks. Embedding disasters into an investment-based asset pricing model induces strong nonlinearity in the pricing kernel. Our single-factor model reproduces the failure of the CAPM in explaining the value premium in finite samples in...