In this paper, we introduce a new method to measure uncertainty using quantitative text analysis and explore the effects of uncertainty on firm performance. We extend a theoretical model with heterogeneous firms and sunk investments to derive hypotheses about the impact of trade policy...

After 18 years of negotiations, Russia has joined the World Trade Organization. This paper assesses how the tariff structure of the Russian Federation will change as a result of the phased implementation of its World Trade Organization commitments between 2012 and 2020 and how it has changed as...

After 18 years of negotiations, Russia has joined the World Trade Organization. This paper assesses how the tariff structure of the Russian Federation will change as a result of the phased implementation of its World Trade Organization commitments between 2012 and 2020 and how it has changed as...

This paper brings new evidence on the impact of services liberalization on the performance of manufacturing firms. Using a unique database of Ukrainian firms in 2001-2007, the authors utilize an external push for liberalization in the services sector as a source of exogenous variation to...

This paper develops a methodology of evaluating trade potential under different integration scenarios using a panel of disaggregated exports. The methodology is applied to compare trade potential of Ukraine under three counterfactual scenarios: joining CU, signing FTA with EU, and joining EU....

The Russian tariff structure contains over 11,000 tariff lines of which about 1,700 use the so-called "combined" tariff rate system. For the combined system tariff lines, the actual tariff applied by Russian customs is the maximum of the ad valorem or specific tariff. The lack of available data...

The authors use a computable general equilibrium comparative static model of the Russian economy to assess the impact of accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) on income distribution and the poor. Their model is innovative in that they incorporate all 55,000 households from the Russian...

Adopting a novel method of synthetic difference in differences (SDID), this paper examines the causal impact of the Brexit referendum on services exports of the UK and other major services exporters. It provides a comparative analysis of the UK, Ireland and Germany, inter alia, and assesses the...

This paper investigates the indirect economic impact of tuberculosis epidemic in one of the high-burden countries, focusing on the productivity at the individual level measured by the average wages and at firm level measured by the average total factor productivity (TFP). We use unique...