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This paper investigates the macroeconomic risks associated with undesirably low inflation using a medium-sized New … Keynesian model. We consider different causes of persistently low inflation, including a downward shift in long-run inflation … persistently low inflation depend crucially on its underlying cause, as well as on the extent to which monetary policy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011459518
In a basic New Keynesian DSGE model with involuntary unemployment and inflation target shocks, we study the role of … labor markets in the transmission of persistent monetary policy shocks that increase households' inflation expectations. The … model predicts that labor market conditions can play important role in the transmission channel of the persistent inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238456
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011770862
Forward guidance operates via the expectations formation process of the agents in the economy. In standard quantitative macroeconomic models, the expectations are unobserved state variables and little scrutiny is devoted to analysing the dynamic behaviour of these expectations. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241110
is derived from policy-makers' preferences about inflation outcomes, we first show that downside risks to price stability … future inflation can provide insurance against the materialisation of such upside risks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010200892
commiting to keep interest rates low at the exit of the liquidity trap, to stabilize inflation today. 2. From debt … interest rates. Liquidity trap (LT) episodes are longer, however, the impact of interest rate policy commitments on inflation … positive at the onset of the episode, through promising higher inflation rates in future periods. We embed our theory into a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304687
Central banks in most advanced economies have reacted similarly to the increase in inflation that started in 2021. They … initially looked through the rising inflation by leaving monetary policy relatively unchanged. Then, after inflation continued … aiming to anchor drifting inflation expectations. Why might central banks want to look through supply-driven inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370504
) could be efficacious in boosting output and inflation in economies facing persistent economic weakness, very low inflation, and … persistently high inflation if the central bank fully adhered to the program; or alternatively, that such a program would be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709425
commiting to keep interest rates low at the exit of the liquidity trap, to stabilize inflation today. 2. From debt … interest rates. Liquidity trap (LT) episodes are longer, however, the impact of interest rate policy commitments on inflation … positive at the onset of the episode, through promising higher inflation rates in future periods. We embed our theory into a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011920684
Although it is generally accepted that consumer confidence measures are informative signals about the state of the economy, theoretical macroeconomic models designed for the analysis of monetary policy typically do not provide a role for them. I develop a framework with asymmetric information in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269096