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Over the last decade foreign bond portfolio positions in US dollar assets have risen above the reciprocal US investor positions in foreign currencies. In periods of increased economic uncertainty, institutional investors hedge their international bond positions, which creates a net hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236684
Over the last decade foreign bond portfolio positions in US dollar assets have risen above the reciprocal US investor positions in foreign currencies. In periods of increased economic uncertainty, institutional investors hedge their international bond positions, which creates a net hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440410
This paper proposes a measure of exchange rate disconnect. Working in a two-currency international economy, our theory … of economies to reveal a geography of disconnect. Linking theory to returns of international bonds and equities, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242011
Over the last decade foreign bond portfolio positions in US dollar assets have risen above the reciprocal US investor positions in foreign currencies. In periods of increased economic uncertainty, institutional investors hedge their international bond positions, which creates a net hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242128
We investigate if unemployment fluctuations generate predictability in the cross-section of currency excess returns. To assess the predictability exerted by unemployment fluctuations, we sort currencies according to past growth in the unemployment rate. We find that an investment strategy which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408806
Meese and Rogoff (1983) and subsequent studies find that economic fundamentals are apparently not able to explain exchange rate movements, but we argue that this so-called "Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle" arose because researchers such as Meese and Rogoff (1983) did not use the right...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502367
We provide a theory of the determination of exchange rates based on capital flows in imperfect financial markets … their required compensation for holding currency risk, thus impacting both the level and volatility of exchange rates. Our … theory of exchange rate determination in imperfect financial markets not only rationalizes the empirical disconnect between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034612
We completely characterize the fundamental relationship between the exchange rate and the asset pricing in the two denomination currencies involved when markets are incomplete. Assuming arbitrage-free, perfectly integrated, frictionless but potentially incomplete financial markets, the exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935086
frictions for business cycle volatility. In our empirical analysis, we demonstrate that stylised facts suggest that countries … with more developed financial systems have lower business cycle volatility. Financial openness has no strong impact on … business cycle volatility, in contrast. In our theoretical analysis, we use a dynamic general equilibrium model to study the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014072512
markets can address the exchange rate volatility puzzle, the exchange rate persistence puzzle, the consumption real exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219402