Measuring mutual fund managers' skills by Microsoft's TrueSkill algorithm, we find highly skilled managers to behave self-confident resulting in higher risk-taking in the second half of the year compared to less skilled managers. Introducing the TrueSkill algorithm, which is widely used in the...

We analyze the quality of Bitcoin volatility forecasting of GARCH-type models applying different volatility proxies and loss functions. We construct model confidence sets and find them to be systematically smaller for asymmetric loss functions and a jump robust proxy

We study the efficiency of cryptocurrencies by measuring the price's reaction time to unexpected relevant information. We find the average price delay to significantly decrease during the last three years. For the cross-section of 75 cryptocurrencies we find delays to be highly correlated with...

The introduction of futures on Bitcoin eases the access of institutional investors to the market and offers an efficient way to short the cryptocurrency. We investigate the effect of this event on the market's price efficiency and find the Bitcoin market to turn efficient. We conduct commonly...