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Market microstructure noise is a challenge to high-frequency based estimation of the integrated variance, because the noise accumulates with the sampling frequency. This has lead to widespread use of constructing the realized variance, a sum of squared intraday returns, from sparsely sampled...
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In this paper, we present a realised range-based multipower variation theory, which can be used to estimate return variation and draw jump-robust inference about the diffusive volatility component, when a high-frequency record of asset prices is available. The standard range-statistic --...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757063
In this paper, we show how to estimate the asymptotic (conditional) covariance matrix, which appears in central limit theorems in high-frequency estimation of asset return volatility. We provide a recipe for the estimation of this matrix by subsampling; an approach that computes rescaled copies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003440
This paper shows that jumps in financial asset prices are often erroneously identified and are, in fact, rare events accounting for a very small proportion of the total price variation. We apply new econometric techniques to a comprehensive set of ultra high-frequency equity and foreign exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008620
We provide a set of probabilistic laws for estimating the quadratic variation of continuous semimartingales with realized range-based variance - a statistic that replaces every squared return of realized variance with a normalized squared range. If the entire sample path of the process is...
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Random forest regression (RF) is an extremely popular tool for the analysis of high-dimensional data. Nonetheless, its benefits may be lessened in sparse settings, due to weak predictors, and a pre-estimation dimension reduction (targeting) step is required. We show that proper targeting...
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