This paper studies the dynamic interaction between the net positions of traders and risk premiums in commodity futures markets. Short-term position changes are mainly driven by the liquidity demands of non-commercial traders, while long-term variation is primarily driven by the hedging demands...

This paper studies the dynamic interaction between the net positions of traders and risk premiums in commodity futures markets. Short-term position changes are mainly driven by the liquidity demands of non-commercial traders, while long-term variation is primarily driven by the hedging demands...

This article reviews the literature on commodities from the perspective of an investor. We re-examine some of the early papers in the literature using recent data and find that the empirical support for the theory of normal backwardation as an explanation for the commodity risk premium is weak...

This paper reviews the literature on commodities from the perspective of an investor. We re-examine some of the early papers in the literature using recent data, and find that the empirical support for the Theory of Normal Backwardation as an explanation for the commodity risk premium is weak,...

The commodity futures basis—the difference between the first and second futures prices—is known to forecast commodity futures returns, arguably through its relation with the convenience yield. We propose a refined measure of the basis, dubbed the relative basis, which is the difference...

This paper examines the contribution of closing pressure and predatory trading to the formation of the negative settlement price of NYMEX West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil futures on April 20, 2020. We construct a theoretical model and show that the eagerness to close long positions,...

In this study, we examine whether the key findings in Tang and Xiong (2012) hold in the more recent sample years after their publication. We also explore the impact of financialization on different aspects of commodity futures markets in more detail. Our analysis shows that financialization...