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The Ljung-Box test is known to be robust. This paper reports on simulations that show just how robust it is in finite samples. Even so, we demonstrate some practical applications where the robustness of the test fails dramatically. The Ljung-Box test on the ranks of the data provides a suitably...
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Problems with performance measurement using information ratios relative to a benchmark are exposed. Random portfolios (that obey constraints but disregard utility) are shown to measure investment skill effectively. Investment mandates can also be based on random portfolios - this allows active...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012737758
The quality of stock market predictions based on the winner of the Super Bowl is examined using permutation tests. These tests are very easy to perform in modern computing environments like the R language. One key point that comes to light is that the success rate of a prediction is not a good...
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The current practice of fund management can be altered to improve the lot of both the investor and the fund manager. Tracking error constraints in mandates can be replaced by an evaluation of the added value provided to the investor by the fund manager. The value of the manager depends not only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739283
We explore the effective gain or loss in alpha from the point of view of the investor due to the volatility of a fund and its correlations to other asset classes. Fund managers and investors can be guided by this to increase the utility that is ultimately delivered to the investor. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739381
Realized tracking errors are examined for a series of optimized portfolios using various estimates for the variance matrix. It is clear that the benchmark should be added mathematically to the variance matrix using the constituent weights - this dramatically outperforms the case where the...
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