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Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting

2021

(i) reviewing the nature and behaviour of inflation expectations, with a focus on the degree of anchoring, and (ii … has been on surveys of professional forecasters and on market-based indicators.Regarding the anchoring of inflation … expectations, (ii) a comprehensive framework for assessing (un)anchoring and (iii) further considerations regarding the use of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626673

Do central bank forecasts matter for professional forecasters?

Kotłowski, Jacek - In: Finance a úvěr 65 (2015) 6, pp. 432-454

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415746

Unravelling the narratives behind macroeconomic forecasts

Castro-Valderrama, Marcela de; Forero-Alvarado, Santiago; … - 2022

What are the main narratives among the public regarding the future course of the Colombian economy, and how do they compare to those of the Central Bank of Colombia? Macroeconomic forecasts collected through surveys mainly assess observable variables; therefore, they offer little understanding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349358

Monetary Policy and Inflation Forecasting with and Without the Output Gap

Razzak, Weshah A. - 2002

Some observers have worried that under or over-estimating the output gap may unnecessarily induce tightening or loosening of monetary conditions, causing real fluctuations. To investigate the relationship between the output gap and inflation, we examine models of inflation that do and do not use...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014113863