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Predicted stock issuers (PSIs) are firms with expected “high-investment and low-profit” (HILP) profiles that earn unusually low returns. We carefully document important features of PSI firms to provide insights on the economic mechanism behind the HILP phenomenon. Top-PSI firms are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902654
We argue that the sheer rational expectation about some typical behaviors of retail investors can induce large and persistent overpricing in popular high-risk stocks. It is well-known that retail investors like distressed stocks. Hence, in a distress scenario, retail investors' increased demand,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237473
In this paper, I examine the conflicting evidence in the finance literature on whether the equity market underreacts or overreacts to liquidity shocks. Using comprehensive stock-level news data, I find that the market underreacts to liquidity shocks, whether or not there is contemporaneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236354
We study the relationship between the Fama and French (2015) five factors’ betas and the expected overnight versus intraday stock returns in China’s A-share markets. We find that factor betas and expected returns exhibit contrasting relationships overnight versus intraday. The market, value,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405180
Much attention is paid to portfolio variance, but skewness is also important for both portfolio design and asset pricing. We revisit the empirical research on systematic skewness that we initiated 25 years ago. In an out-of-sample test, we find that the risk premium associated with skewness is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013288865
I document that aggregate stock market returns correlate negatively with past returns in the first half of the earnings seasons, and positively in the second half. While these two arms of correlation are individually strong, they cancel with each other, averaging to a weak unconditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846968
A predictable pattern of stock market return is the violation of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). It is well studied and evident in financial literature that stock markets around the world have predictable patterns e.g. calendar effect, behavioural effect, and Religious festival effect....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870992
Volatility is an important component of asset pricing; an increase in volatility on markets can trigger changes in the risk distribution of financial assets. In conventional financial theory, investors are considered to be rational and any changes in relevant risk are assumed to be a result of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023919
A predictable pattern of stock market return is the violation of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). It is well studied and evident in financial literature that stock markets around the world have predictable patterns, e.g. calendar effect, behavioural effect, and Religious festival effect....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023939
This paper investigates for the first time the effects of oil demand shocks and oil supply shocks on stock order flow imbalances leading to changes in stock returns. Through the estimation of a structural VAR model, positive oil demand shocks are able to explain almost 36% of the observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959469