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first group were practicing Operations Research professionals well-versed in both classical probability theory and the … engineering department also well-versed in classical probability theory but had no work experience and no exposure to subjective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313531
This paper presents mathematical formulation for the probability distribution function of asset value difference using canonical ensemble framework. For asset value significantly smaller than the total market value, the distribution is given by exponential function, which depends on market-eta...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864207
This paper presents a unified framework for the popular Skewed Generalized t (SGT) distribution and its special cases the Skewed Generalized Error Distribution (SGED), the skewed student's t, the skewed Laplace and skewed normal distributions. The analytical moment equations presented can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919247
. Concrete examples illustrate the variouscases that arise, and the theory is complemented with several simulations andpotential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380062
In this paper, we derive upper and lower bounds on the Range Value-at-Risk of the portfolio loss when we only know its mean and variance, and its feature of unimodality. In a first step, we use some classic results on stochastic ordering to reduce this optimization problem to a parametric one,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848760
Mixed exponential distributions are frequently used in actuarial risk modeling. Distributions obtained through mixtures allow greater flexibility in the modeling of non-life insurance loss amounts . Several research works have studied mixed exponential distributions in univariate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899050
In a one-step trinary lying experiment, subjects privately observe a random device that indicates a low payoff, an intermediate payoff or a high payoff. Subjects are paid whatever they report, inducing some subjects to lie in order to receive a higher payoff. This paper presents a methodology...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858803
Topological data analysis provides a new perspective on many problems in the domain of complex systems. Here, we establish the dependency of the mean value of functional $p$-norms of 'persistence landscapes' on a uniform scaling of the underlying multivariate distribution. Furthermore, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231130
The quotient of random variables with normal distributions is examined and proven to have have power law decay, with density f(x)~f_0 x^(-2), with the coefficient depending on the means and variances of the numerator and denominator, and their correlation. We also obtain the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923032
This paper studies in detail simulation methods for simulating tail probability and tail mean of both univariate and bivariate compound variables. We first reviewed some basic variance reduction methods, then we proposed several novel combinations of variance reduction methods specifically for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013297158