In 2020, the world economy was faced with a large-scale crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic, a worsening situation in the global oil market, increasing global uncertainty, and capital outflows from emerging markets. The crisis phenomena were experienced, to a varying degree, by every...

In March – the first decade of May 2020, amidst the acute phase of the epidemiological crisis the banking sector's need in liquid funds increased considerably. It was justified by growth in the money supply volume, credit institutions' correspondent account balances, as well as commercial...

Russia's positive balance of trade significantly decreased in Q2 on the back of rapid contraction of exports value compared to imports. Net capital inflow was observed in the sector of federal administrative bodies and private enterprises. Banks were building- up foreign assets and were reducing...

At its June meeting, for the first time this year, the Bank of Russia Board of Directors decided to cut the key rate by 0.25 pp. to 7.5% per annum. Such a decision was motivated by the plunge of annual inflation in April-May 2019 to 5.1%, coupled with weakening inflation risks. The inflation...

Russia's positive balance of trade increased in Q1 2019, compared to the previous years' same period, on the back of decline in imports (a major contributor to the increase) induced by rouble depreciation. BoP data show that residents invested more in foreign assets as well as the OFZ bond...

The Bank of Russia's decision to reduce the key rate by 0.50 pp to 6.5% was caused by an inflation slowdown to 3.8% in October 2019 relative to October 2018, with a high probability of its continuing downward movement. In this connection, the Bank of Russia has revised its inflation projections...

In Q3 2019, Russia's trade surplus fell significantly due to a declining value volume of exports coupled with a slight growth in imports. Net capital outflow from the private sector was caused by the banking sector's foreign liabilities shrinking at a faster rate than that of its foreign assets....

In 2019, the significant inflation slowdown translated into a notable monetary policy easing. Over the course of the year, the Bank of Russia reduced its key rate 5 times (from 7.75 to 6.25% per annum), as a result of which, according to the Bank of Russia, it now stands near neutral level. Our...

Inflation in Russia dropped to 2.5% year-on-year in November 2017, hitting lows not seen in Russia's recent history, in response to a good crop, Russian rouble appreciation and slow demand recovery. It appears to be unlikely that consumer price growth will leap over 2.5–2.7%. The economic...