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The paper describes a semistructural macrofiscal approach to simulating and forecasting macroeconomic policies. The model focuses on only a few variables that are consistent with the New Keynesian framework. Thanks to its simplicity, it facilitates an initial and intuitive understanding of...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012605598
The paper describes a semistructural macrofiscal approach to simulating and forecasting macroeconomic policies. Our canonical model is adapted to Cambodia and we demonstrate its application with an illustrative scenario of macroeconomic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. Complemented with...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013315092
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10000673444
We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by comparing inflation factors reported by the central banks with ex-post...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014411339
We study whether clarity of central bank inflation reports affects return volatility in financial markets. We measure clarity of reports by the Czech National Bank, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and Sveriges Riksbank using the Flesch-Kincaid grade level, a standard readability...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014411635
The effects of debt relief on incentives to accumulate debt, consume, and invest are an important concern for donors and recipients. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of a small open economy with a minimum consumption requirement and an endogenous relief probability, we show...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014399176
The Maastricht inflation criterion, designed in the early 1990s to bring ""high-inflation"" EU countries in line with ""low-inflation"" countries prior to the introduction of the euro, poses challenges for both new EU member countries and the European Central Bank. While the criterion has...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014400367
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10001536969
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10001536982
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10001538503