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Stocks with large increases in call implied volatilities over the previous month tend to have high future returns while stocks with large increases in put implied volatilities over the previous month tend to have low future returns. Sorting stocks ranked into decile portfolios by past call...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062479
American university and college endowments now hold close to one-third of their portfolios in private equity and hedge funds. We estimate the implied beliefs of endowments about alternative assets' returns relative to equities and bonds. At the end of 2012, the typical endowment believes that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062870
Municipal bonds are often "advance refunded." Bonds that are not yet callable are defeasedby creating a trust that pays the interest up to the call date, and pays the call price. Newdebt, generally at lower interest rates, is issued to fund the trust. Issuing new securitiesto fund payments on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063340
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233244
Using filtering techniques, spectral analysis, and Markov chain models, I document trends and cycles of factors have significantly changed over the period to December 2000 compared to the period post-January 2001. The recent weaker performance of value in the 21st century, including the value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235758
In February 2020, Andrew Ang spoke with members of the Journal of Investment Consulting editorial advisory board about factor investing—its fundamental economic basis, its past performance, and its role in the future. Taking part in the discussion were Inna Okounkova, Columbia University and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248942
We propose a framework for optimal currency allocations taken relative to a strategic benchmark, which may build in existing hedging positions. We determine optimal currency positions to obtain higher expected returns than the benchmark holding the risk constant, or to reduce risk but hold the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229402
We study the inflation hedging ability of individual stocks. While the poor inflation hedging ability of the aggregate stock market has long been documented, there is considerable heterogeneity in how individual stock returns covary with inflation. Stocks with good inflation-hedging abilities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111115
We decompose the term structure of expected equity returns into (1) the real short rate, (2) a premium for holding real long-term bonds, or the real duration premium, the excess returns of nominal long-term bonds over real bonds which reflects (3) expected inflation and (4) inflation risk, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113165
We study the nature of systemic sovereign credit risk using CDS spreads for the U.S. Treasury, individual U.S. states, and major European countries. Using a multifactor affine framework that allows for both systemic and sovereign-specific credit shocks, we find that there is considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125926