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In this paper, we investigate whether business cycles can imply sizable effects on average unemployment. First, using a … on unemployment: positive shocks reduce unemployment less than negative shocks increase it. For the observed process of … average job finding rate and so the business cycle cost. -- Business cycle costs ; unemployment dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778482
search model with learning on-the-job and skill loss during unemployment. A negative correlation between unemployment and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909709
Propagation in equilibrium models of search unemployment is altered when vacancy costs require some external financing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095421
A search and matching model, when calibrated to the mean and volatility of unemployment in the postwar sample, can … potentially explain the unemployment crisis in the Great Depression. The limited responses of wages from credible bargaining to … labor market conditions, along with the congestion externality from matching frictions, cause the unemployment rate to rise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411443
understanding that their jobs still exist and that they will be recalled. We show that the resulting temporary-layoff unemployment … mostly dissipated by the end of 2020. Potential workers without jobs constitute what we call jobless unemployment. Shocks … that elevate jobless unemployment have much more persistent effects. Historical major adverse shocks, such as the financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168892
increased flow into unemployment in a recession is mainly due to reduced hirings, and hence lower job-to-job transitions, rather …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003323028
This chapter assesses how models with search frictions have shaped our understanding of aggregate labor market outcomes in two contexts: business cycle fluctuations and long-run (trend) changes. We first consolidate data on aggregate labor market outcomes for a large set of OECD countries. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025126
labor more important for unemployment. I differentiate jobs based on their hiring pool and estimate their wage cyclicality …. The key finding is that wages in jobs hiring from unemployment are half as cyclical as wages in other jobs, for both … incumbent workers and new hires. To measure the effects of this on unemployment volatility, I develop a labor search model with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014359056
unemployment rates, is a good start to understanding the unemployment crisis in the Great Depression. Drawing from rarely used data … sources, this paper compiles historical monthly time series of U.S. unemployment rates, vacancy rates, and labor productivity …, some of which date back to 1890. The frequency, persistence, and severity of the unemployment crises in the model are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843442
Using the new AWFP dataset that covers all German establishments, we document a substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity of establishments' average real wages over the business cycle. While the median establishments' real wages are procyclical, there is a large fraction of establishments with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735900