Using density forecasts, we compare the predictive performance of duration models that have been developed for modelling intra-day data on stock markets. Our model portfolio encompasses the autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model, its logarithmic version (Log-ACD), the threshold ACD...

Recent contributions to microstructure theory hint at commonalities in the price-depth pairs which constitute the open limit order book. In this paper we provide empirical evidence that indeed a small number of latent factors, two for each side of the book, capture most of the variation in the...

This paper develops a family of autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models that encompasses most specifications in the literature. The nesting relies on a Box-Cox transformation with shape parameter [delta] to the conditional duration process anda possibly asymmetric shocks impact curve....

In this paper we perform an empirical analysis of the trading process in a pure limit order book market, the Xetra system which operates at various European exchanges. We study how present and past liquidity supply and demand as well as price volatility affect future trading activity and market...

The task of airline network management is to develop new flight schedule variants and evaluate thm in terms of expected passenger demand and revenue. Given the industry's trend towards global cooperation, this is especially important when evaluating the potential synergies with alliance...

This paper presents an empirical evaluation of recently proposed asset pricing models which extend the standard preference specification by a reference level of consumption. We motivate an alternative model that accounts for the return on human capital as a determinant of the reference level....

We apply the Threshold Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model (TACD) as proposed by Zhang, Russell, and Tsay (1999) to model the after market trading duration process associated with the initial public offering of the Deutsche Telekom AG share in November of 1996. Special emphasis is devoted...

This paper shows that the monotonicity of the conditional hazard in traditional ACD models is both econometrically important and empirically invalid. To counter this problem we introduce a more flexible parametric model which is easy to fit and performs well both in simulation studies and in...