This paper introduces the Hawkes skeleton and the Hawkes graph. These objects summarize the branching structure of a multivariate Hawkes point process in a compact, yet meaningful way. We demonstrate how graph-theoretic vocabulary ("ancestor sets", "parent sets", "connectivity", "walks", "walk...

Die mittelfristige Prognose der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung und des strukturellen Wandels, der sektoralen Beschäftigungsveränderungen und der Nachfrage nach beruflichen Tätigkeiten, die das Österreichische Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung im Auftrag des AMS Österreich durchgeführt hat,...

Aus dem einleitenden Teil: "Die mittelfristige Prognose der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung und des strukturellen Wandels, der sektoralen Beschäftigungsveränderungen und der Nachfrage nach beruflichen Tätigkeiten, die das Österreichische Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung im Auftrag des AMS...

This paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spendingshocks and the fiscal transmission mechanism in the euro area for the period1980-2008. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we investigate changes in themacroeconomic impact of government spending shocks using...

This paper assesses the role of sovereign risk in explaining macroeconomic fluctuations in Turkey. We estimate two versions of a simple New Keynesian small open economy model on quarterly data for the period 1994Q3-2008Q2: a basic version and a version augmented by a default premium on...

State-contingent tax policy can generate stabilization gains if an economy is subjectto occasionally binding financial constraints. The aim of this paper is to assesswhether that claim can be supported in a small open economy real business cyclemodel with liquidity constraints on the consumer...

The analysis of postural control has a long history. Traditionally, the amount of body sway is solely used as an index of postural stability. Although this leads to some extent to an effective evaluation of balance performance, the control mechanisms involved have not yet been fully understood....