This paper focuses on the uncertainty effect on consumer price inflation based on a panel of 82 advanced, emerging, and developing economies studied over a sample period running from 1995 to 2022. In contrast to the previous literature, we particularly control for the role of monetary policy...

Die vorliegende Studie analysiert Dimensionen und Determinanten von umfragebasierten Maßen zur Verankerung von Inflationserwartungen. Wir analysieren 82 Volkswirtschaften über einen Zeitraum von 1995 bis 2022 und zeigen, dass verschiedene Dimensionen der Inflationsverankerung grundsätzlich...

This paper analyzes cross border credit from a new perspective: We assess globally aggregated foreign-denominated credit to non-bank borrowers (provided by the BIS) and analyze which factors drive debt denominated in yen, euro and US dollar between 2003 and 2020. The determinants we analyze...

Although the link between oil prices and dollar exchange rates has been frequently analyzed, a clear distinction between prices and nominal exchange rate dynamics and a clarification of the issue of causality has not been provided. In addition, previous studies have mostly neglected...

This study analyzes long-run and short-run dynamics between the current account and the real effective dollar exchange rates from a novel perspective. Applying multivariate cointegration techniques, we first test for a long-run relationship between the real effective dollar exchange rate and the...

This study analyzes the dynamics between real e ective exchange rates and current account patterns from a novel perspective. We start by dissecting long-run and time-varying short-run dynamics between both variables. Following this, we extend our framework by including interest rates into our...

This study deals with the issue whether gold actually exhibits the function of a hedge or a safe haven as often referred to in the media and academia. In order to test the Baur and Lucey (2010) hypotheses, we contribute to the existing literature by the augmentation of their model to a smooth...

The price of gold is influenced by a wide range of local and global factors such as commodity prices, interest rates, inflation expectations, exchange rate changes and stock market volatility among others. Hence, forecasting the price of gold is a notoriously difficult task and the main problem...

Gold is a globally traded asset and held in large quantities by investors and central banks. Since there is no established model to assess if the price of gold is overvalued or undervalued, we propose a relative valuation framework based on gold price ratios. We analyze gold prices relative to...

This study analyzes the dynamics between real effective exchange rates and current accounts from a novel perspective. We start by dissecting long-run and time-varying short-run dynamics as well as causalities between both variables. Following this, we extend our framework by including short-term...