This paper has updated the assessment of the Commission's forecasts' track record from 1999 by extending the observation period from 1969-1997 to also take into account the forecasts and outcome for the years 1998-2005. This update has also included some further tests on e.g. informational...

This paper has updated the assessment of the Commission's forecasts' track record from 1999 by extending the observation period from 1969-1997 to also take into account the forecasts and outcome for the years 1998-2005. This update has also included some further tests on e.g. informational...

HSS and UHSS offer high light-weighting potential for car body structural components. The large amount of springback after forming operations is currently limiting the market penetration of such steel grades, because of the large effort to be spent for tool design and tolerance satisfaction,...

The main objective of the HI-VEL project is to establish the feasibility of high velocity forming methods and to quantify the enhancement achievable with these techniques in the formability of high strength steel (HSS) and stainless steel sheets and tubes for automotive applications....

High-strength steels (HSS) and ultra-high-strength steel (UHSS) offer great possibilities for weight reduction, increased safety and reduced fuel consumption. However, serious problems are connected to production of the high-strength steel parts, especially using traditional technologies...

This paper introduces a statistical model for short-term GDP forecasting based on approximate dynamic factors, Stock and Watson methodology, extracted from a very large number of leading indicators at several lags. Given that factor extraction is performed on many series from all countries of...

The paper introduces an approximate dynamic factor model based on the extraction of principal components from a very large number of leading indicators stacked at various lags. The model is designed to produce short-term forecasts that are computed with the EM algorithm implemented with the...

Any meaningful analysis of cyclical developments, of medium term growth prospects or of the stance of fiscal and monetary policies are all predicated on either an implicit or explicit assumption concerning the rate of potential output growth. Given the importance of the concept, the measurement...

The paper introduces an approximate dynamic factor model based on the extraction of principal components from a very large number of leading indicators stacked at various lags. The model is designed to produce short-term forecasts that are computed with the EM algorithm implemented with the...

This paper introduces a statistical model for short-term GDP forecasting based on approximate dynamic factors (Stock and Watson methodology), extracted from a very large number of leading indicators sorted according to their correlations at various lags to euro-area GDP (Sorted Leading...