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We consider forecast guidance as a mechanism that managers use to avoid negative earnings surprises. Modeling forecast … forecast guidance to avoid negative earnings surprises than managers in weak-investor-protection countries. We also show that … US managers are more prone to use forecast guidance to avoid negative earnings surprises than managers in other countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115221
Managerial behavior differs considerably when managers report quarterly profits versus losses. When they report profits …, managers seek to just meet or slightly beat analyst estimates. When they report losses, managers do not attempt to meet or … slightly beat analyst estimates. Instead, managers often do not forewarn analysts of impending losses, and the analyst's signed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218011
and insider selling in the following year, consistent with managers understanding the myopic nature of their actions. Our … results confirm survey evidence suggesting managers engage in myopic behavior to beat benchmarks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157799
forecast properties. The evidence shows that analysts' earnings forecast accuracy is higher and the forecast dispersion is … higher forecast accuracy and less forecast dispersion in the non-Big Five auditor sample but not in the Big Five auditor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224291
analysts' forecasts. We focus primarily on two groups of firms: those that miss their forecast but appear not to have attempted … to exceed it by managing earnings, and those that exceed their forecast but appear to have done so through accruals or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079305
forecast properties. The evidence shows that analysts' earnings forecast accuracy is higher and the forecast dispersion is … higher forecast accuracy and less forecast dispersion in the non-Big Five auditor sample but not in the Big Five auditor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773262
intermediaries. Prior research finds that accruals and analyst earnings forecast revisions predict future returns. We find that the … accrual and forecast revision strategies generate hedge returns of 15.5% and 5.5% when implemented independently. Strikingly …, a combined strategy that uses forecast revisions to refine the accrual strategy generates a hedge return of 28.5%. Firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014072446
The state of the art in the analyst forecasting literature is that analyst earnings forecast ability is only firm … absence of a “spillover” effect, i.e., investors do not consider an analyst's earnings forecast ability regarding firm k when … reacting to his earnings forecast revision for firm j. We re-examine the issue of whether or not earnings forecast ability is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070639
The incentive effect of CEO portfolio delta (i.e., the sensitivity of CEO wealth to changes in stock price) on financial misreporting is inconclusive given a complex reward-risk tradeoff faced by CEOs (e.g., a positive “reward effect” versus a negative “risk effect”). We propose that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235090
updates to the forecast and the 10-K report. Lastly, we show that financial analysts rely more on the earnings forecasts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218627