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Most of the reduction in GDP volatility since the 1983 is accounted for by a decline in comovement of output among … industries that hold inventories. This decline is not simply a passive byproduct of reduced volatility in common factors or …. Structural changes accounted for more than 80 percent of the reduction in output volatility, thus weakening the case for "good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230303
For more than half a century, inventory investment has attracted wide attention as a major cause of short-term macroeconomic fluctuations, and the mechanisms involved have been the focus of many major studies. Yet microeconomists and business people familiar with corporate behavior have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076396
production techniques are responsible for the decline in the volatility of U.S. GDP growth. Our innovations are to look at the … identification of this hypothesis, and to provide a complete accounting of the change in GDP volatility. Changes in inventory … behavior can account directly for only up to half of the total reduction in GDP volatility. Cross-section evidence from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074949
The importance of inventory investment in the business cycle is well known. Its role in the seasonal cycle is less well known. We examine the variation of inventory investment and its comovement with output over the seasonal and business cycles. We measure the deterministic and stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220786
decreases output volatility relative to sales volatility, lower levels of inventories actually increases sales volatility …. Because these two effects offset each other, a change in inventory management does not change output volatility to any great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009744610
give rise to hump-shaped output dynamics and significantly higher volatility of GDP. Such predictions are in sharp contrast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012718471
spending - are responsible for the bulk of the decline in overall volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776650
played a reinforcing - rather than a leading-role in the volatility reduction. Movements in the volatility of manufacturing …. Although the volatility of total inventory investment has fallen, the decline occurred well before the mid-1980s and was driven …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076151
Most of the reduction in GDP volatility since the 1983 is accounted for by a decline in comovement of output among … industries that hold inventories. This decline is not simply a passive byproduct of reduced volatility in common factors or …. Structural changes accounted for more than 80 percent of the reduction in output volatility, thus weakening the case for good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280925
Inventory fluctuations are an important phenomenon in business cycles. However, the preliminary data on inventory investment as published in the German national accounts are tremendously prone to revision and therefore ill-equipped to diagnose the current stance of the inventory cycle. The Ifo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449240