The Covid-19 epidemic affected the ability of traditional forecasting models to produce reliable scenarios for the evolution of economic activity. We combine macroeconomic variables with epidemiological indicators to account for the Covid-19 shock and predict the short-term evolution of Italian...

The large volume of asylum seekers and irregular migrants entering continental Europe constitutes a public health challenge. Migrant facilities in many European Union (EU) Member States have the potential to be overwhelmed with much higher numbers of migrants than the sites were originally...

The increasing number of people entering the European Union/European Economic Area (EU/EEA) as asylum seekers and irregular migrants has challenged public health authorities to provide relevant, proportionate and appropriate services, including communicable disease-related services. As a...

In light of recent global economic and geopolitical shocks threatening trade openness, this report aims to shed light on geoeconomic fragmentation and develops a rich set of new tools to assess its economic effects and implications for central banks. The report shows that, although global trade...

In response to the invasion of Ukraine, the EU and most other advanced economies imposed extensive sanctions on Russia, intending to harm its production capabilities and hinder its economic activities by restricting its access to international trade and financial markets. This paper develops an...

We provide a quantification of the impact through international trade of the restrictive measures and related trade disruptions following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. We first exploit the multi-sector, multi-country, general equilibrium trade model by Antràs and Chor (2018). In this...

In response to the invasion of Ukraine, the EU and most other advanced economies imposed extensive sanctions on Russia, intending to harm its production capabilities and hinder its economic activities by restricting its access to international trade and financial markets. This paper develops an...